The Positive Scatter Bonus: Peak or Signal?
A positive bonus is often read as the start of a run, but in the data it can be the peak of a cycle.
A positive bonus is the most dangerous psychological moment. It gives a sense of strength, payback and control, so the player often continues longer than planned.
Read it carefully
In analytics such a result must be read with care. A strong payout can be not the start of a run but the end of the current segment — a peak of the cycle rather than a signal to keep going. The line theory puts a peak near a multiplier level (often around x100), after which the cycle starts again.
The practical takeaway
After a strong bonus, don't trust the feeling of continuation — look at the numbers: how much was spent up to the event, what the RTP became, and whether a new tail is starting after the peak. Read it as a payout class: a positive bonus is a peak, not a promise that it will keep paying.